Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategies
www.garesearch.com

Slots
Presidential
Contest
August 2004
Contact:
Patrick Gonzales 410-974-4669
Methodology
Patrick
E. Gonzales graduated from the
Over the
past two decades, Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed hundreds of elections in
Laslo V. Boyd is president of Mellenbrook Policy
Advisors, a consulting firm specializing in policy, planning, and
communications strategies, and an associate partner of Gonzales Research.
Dr. Boyd received his Ph.D. from the
This
survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from August 10th through August 15th, 2004. A total of 847 registered voters in
The margin for error, according to customary
statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points. There is a 95 percent
probability that the “true” figures would fall within this range if the entire
survey universe were sampled. The margin
for error is higher for any demographic subgroup, such as gender or party
affiliation.
|
Gender |
Race |
Region |
|
Male 421
(50%) |
White 647
(76%) |
Eastern
Shore/S Md 108 (13%) |
|
Female 426
(50%) |
Black 185
(22%) |
|
|
|
Other/Ref
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Party
Registration |
|
|
|
Democrat 481
(57%) |
|
|
|
Republican 270 (32%) |
|
|
|
Independent 96 (11%) |
|
|
Regional Groupings are
as follows:
|
Eastern Shore/ |
|
|
|
|
|
Calvert
Co. |
|
Anne
Arundel Co. |
Montgomery Co. |
Allegany
Co. |
|
Caroline
Co. |
|
Baltimore
Co. |
|
Carroll
Co. |
|
Cecil
Co. |
|
Harford
Co. |
|
Frederick
Co. |
|
Charles
Co. |
|
Howard
Co. |
|
Garrett
Co. |
|
Dorchester
Co. |
|
|
|
Washington
Co. |
|
Kent
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Queen
Anne’s |
|
|
|
|
|
Somerset
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
St.
Mary’s |
|
|
|
|
|
Talbot
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Wicomico
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Worcester
Co. |
|
|
|
|
Summary
A
majority of voters in
|
Slots |
Favor |
Oppose |
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
August 2004 |
55% |
38% |
7% |
|
March 2004 |
54% |
35% |
11% |
|
October 2003 |
56% |
34% |
10% |
|
August 2003 |
57% |
31% |
12% |
|
March 2003 |
47% |
45% |
8% |
|
January 2003 |
46% |
40% |
14% |
|
August 2002 |
46% |
37% |
17% |
George
W. Bush Job Approval and Presidential Match-up
A
majority of
Statewide,
43% approve of the job Bush is doing, while 51% disapprove, and 6% offered no
opinion on his performance in office.
|
Bush Job Rating |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
August 2004 |
43% |
51% |
6% |
|
June 2004 |
39% |
54% |
7% |
|
March 2004 |
45% |
47% |
8% |
|
February 2004 |
41% |
53% |
6% |
|
December 2003 |
47% |
46% |
7% |
|
August 2003 |
43% |
48% |
9% |
|
April 2003 |
62% |
31% |
7% |
|
September 2002 |
63% |
28% |
9% |
|
January 2002 |
74% |
16% |
10% |
|
May 2001 |
48% |
34% |
18% |
|
February 2001 |